December signed contracts for homes up 2 percent

Thursday, January 27, 2011

The number of people who signed contracts to buy homes rose in December, marking the fifth increase in the past six months.

AP Economics Writer
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WASHINGTON — 


The number of people who signed contracts to buy homes rose in December, marking the fifth increase in the past six months.

The National Association of Realtors said Thursday that its index of sales agreements for previously occupied homes rose 2 percent last month. The index had posted a 3.1 percent increase in November.
Economists have cautioned that a big reason for the jump is that people are buying foreclosed homes. Still, the increase is likely to give the weak housing market a boost in the first few months of the year. That's because there's usually a one- to two-month lag between a sales contract and a completed deal.

The number of Americans who bought previously owned homes last year fell to the lowest level in 13 years, and economists say it will be years before the housing market fully recovers.
High unemployment and a record number of foreclosures are deterring potential buyers who fear home prices haven't reached the bottom. Job growth is expected to pick up this year, but not enough to raise home sales to healthier levels.

Contract signings in December were up in every region of the country except the West.  The gains were led by an 11.5 percent increase in the South. Signings were up 8 percent in the Midwest and 1.8 percent in the Northeast. However, they fell 13.2 percent in the West.

With the recent increases, contract signings are 24.1 percent above their low point in June. In that month, signings fell to the lowest level since the Realtors began tracking signed contracts in 2001.
Even with the gain in December, signings are 4.2 percent below where they were in December 2009.  At the end of 2009, the housing market got a boost as buyers rushed to close deals to take advantage of a federal home-buying tax credit that initially was set to expire in November.  The tax credit was later extended to April 30. After it expired, housing activity slumped.

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Home prices fall in major U.S. cities, including Seattle, in November

Wednesday, January 26, 2011

Home prices are falling across most of America's largest cities, and average prices in nine major markets, including Seattle, have hit their lowest point since the housing bust.

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Home prices are falling across most of America's largest cities, and average prices in nine major markets, including Seattle, have hit their lowest point since the housing bust.
The Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index released Tuesday fell 1 percent in November from October. All but one city, San Diego, recorded monthly price declines.
Nine others sank to their lowest levels since prices peaked in 2006 and 2007: In addition to Seattle, they were Atlanta; Charlotte, N.C.; Chicago, Las Vegas; Miami; Portland; Tampa, Fla.; and Detroit, which saw the largest drop at 2.7 percent from the previous month.
In the Seattle metropolitan area, which includes King, Snohomish and Pierce counties, average prices fell 1.1 percent between October and November, according to Case-Shiller.
Millions of foreclosures are forcing prices down, and many people are holding off making purchases because they fear the market hasn't hit bottom yet. Many analysts expect home prices to keep falling through the first six months of this year.  "With these numbers, more analysts will be calling for a double-dip in home prices," said David Blitzer, chairman of S&P's Index Committee.
Over the past year, prices have risen in four major metro areas. Prices rose 3.5 percent in Washington, the largest gain. Los Angeles, San Diego and San Francisco also posted gains.
Seattle prices were down 4.7 percent year-over-year.
Some of the worst declines have come in cities hard hit by foreclosures.
As of November, average home prices in Las Vegas have fallen 57.2 percent from their peak in August 2006 and are back to where they were in late 1999. Another foreclosure hotbed, Phoenix, is down 53.9 percent from its June 2006 peak. Average home prices there are back to where they were in 2000. Miami has fallen 48.8 percent from its peak in December 2006, and is selling at late 2002 levels.  Seattle average home prices peaked later, in July 2007, and have since fallen 26.4 percent. The last time they were lower was in February 2005, according to Case-Shiller.  The 20-city index has risen 3.3 percent from its April 2009 bottom. But it remains well below its July 2006 peak.

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Neighborhood of the week: Sammamish Plateau

Sunday, January 23, 2011

Sammamish Plateau can feel like two worlds in one -- a modern suburb in a rural setting that has garnered national attention, and a place where home values have held up over the past year.
Homes and tall trees line the shore of Pine Lake on the Sammamish Plateau, providing a peaceful setting in a fast-growing area.
COURTNEY BLETHEN RIFFKIN / THE SEATTLE TIMES
Homes and tall trees line the shore of Pine Lake on the Sammamish Plateau, providing a peaceful setting in a fast-growing area.
The traffic and stores along busy 228th Avenue Northeast in the city of Sammamish contrasts with the rural feeling that remains in much of the area.
COURTNEY BLETHEN RIFFKIN / THE SEATTLE TIMES
The traffic and stores along busy 228th Avenue Northeast in the city of Sammamish contrasts with the rural feeling that remains in much of the area.
This four-bedroom, 2.5 bath, 2,560-square-foot house on the Sammamish Plateau recently sold for $705,000. It has panoramic views and a large family room that opens onto nearly 500 square feet of deck. Chef's kitchen has slab-granite countertops.
CHAD ZOTTOLI / WINDERMERE REAL ESTATE
This four-bedroom, 2.5 bath, 2,560-square-foot house on the Sammamish Plateau recently sold for $705,000. It has panoramic views and a large family room that opens onto nearly 500 square feet of deck. Chef's kitchen has slab-granite countertops.
This five-bedroom, 2.75 bath, 3,750-square-foot house on the Sammamish Plateau recently sold for $670,000. It features a two-story entry with curved staircase, vaulted ceilings and three fireplaces. Gourmet kitchen has hardwood floors and walk-in pantry.
RENEE VANOUS / WINDERMERE REAL ESTATE
This five-bedroom, 2.75 bath, 3,750-square-foot house on the Sammamish Plateau recently sold for $670,000. It features a two-story entry with curved staircase, vaulted ceilings and three fireplaces. Gourmet kitchen has hardwood floors and walk-in pantry.
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Sammamish Plateau
Population: 46,246 (city of Sammamish 2010 estimate)
Distance to downtown Seattle: About 18 miles.
Schools: Residents of the Sammamish Plateau are served by either the Issaquah or Lake Washington school districts.
Recreation: Pine Lake Park, 228th Avenue Southeast and Southeast 24th Street. Offers swimming, boat launch, fishing pier and two new play areas. The park is host to community events, including the annual Summer Nights At The Park series of music concerts, plays and outdoor movies.
Fun fact: Sammamish High School is actually in Bellevue and served by the Bellevue School District. The school opened in 1959, 40 years before the city of Sammamish was created.
Perched above Lake Sammamish on the edge of the Cascade foothills, the Sammamish Plateau appears to be a peaceful, forested retreat just minutes from Bellevue, Redmond and Seattle.
But the last 30 years have seen sweeping changes to the Plateau. When Janell Focht moved there in 1981, Sadlier's Country Store was a favorite local gathering place. There was still a hitching post and Focht saw horses tied up outside along with the cars.  But Sadlier's closed in 1984 and today the site is home to a restaurant near a new, busy four-lane roadway in the fast-growing city of Sammamish, which was incorporated in 1999.  While Focht has fond memories of the country store and rural feeling of the area, she says most of the change is good.  She used to have to drive all the way down to Redmond for groceries or gas. And the widening and improvements to the roads have eased traffic considerably, too, she says. "It is a beautiful place to live," says Focht. "We are still pretty small town, even though we have grown."
Home values have remained relatively stable over the past year, according to figures compiled by Seattle-based Zillow.com. The median value of all single-family houses in Sammamish, not just those that recently sold, was $512,600 in November, down 1.1 percent year-over-year, the Zillow Home Value Index shows. That compares to a drop of 11.3 percent for single-family houses in the Seattle metro area, according to Zillow.  Meanwhile, the median value of all condos in Sammamish was $223,500 in November, down 8.5 percent year-over-year, according to Zillow.
At times, the Plateau feels like two worlds melded together by its geography. Some parts of the Plateau look like a scenic country drive dotted with large estates and farm-style homes on acreage with horses, and many residents report seeing deer, raccoons, bobcats, and even the occasional bear. Other areas have been developed into denser suburban neighborhoods with plenty of amenities, such as stores, businesses and parks. In fact, residents say it is the amenities that set the area apart and make it a unique place to live.

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Relaxed FHA 'flip' rules prove no flop

Saturday, January 15, 2011

Syndicated columnist
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WASHINGTON — When you hear the Obama administration plans to extend a policy that allows low down-payment financing of "flipped" houses for 2011, your first reaction might be: no way.  At this stage of the boom-to-bust-to-recovery cycle, is high-leverage flipping the type of activity the federal government should be encouraging?
Definitely not. A classic flip involves the quick resale of a house or condominium at a significantly higher price than the purchaser paid, with only cosmetic improvements to the property if any at all. Sometimes only the contract itself is being signed over to a new buyer at a higher price.
A transaction in Florida last year illustrates the concept: An investor bought 19 condo units in a financially distressed Miami development for $1.25 million. She closed on the deal then resold the units barely 20 minutes later to another investor for $1.45 million for a $200,000 instant profit.
"That was a pretty impressive flip, even for this market," says Peter Zalewski, founder of Condo Vultures, a firm that tracks condo activity in the Miami area and advises investors.  The Obama administration plan has no connection with deals like these, though the word "flipping" is in its title.
A little history: For years, the federal government had prohibited the use of FHA mortgage financing by buyers purchasing homes from sellers who had owned the property for less than 90 days. The idea was to prevent speculators from defrauding the government through quick flips of houses — usually involving straw buyers and corrupt appraisers — at wildly inflated prices.
One side effect of that policy had been to stifle purchase-and-renovate projects by legitimate, small-scale investors who buy houses after foreclosure or loan defaults then resell them in substantially improved condition.
In many parts of the country, first-time and moderate-income buyers often sought to buy these fixed-up houses using FHA-insured mortgages with 3.5 percent down payments, but were prevented from doing so by the long-standing "anti-flipping" rules.
This, in turn, left large numbers of foreclosed, vacant houses sitting unsold and deteriorating, with negative effects on the values of neighboring properties.
Last January, FHA Commissioner David H. Stevens announced a one-year suspension of that rule, permitting qualified buyers to obtain FHA mortgages on properties acquired by rehabbers less than 90 days before.
The plan, to expire at the end of this month, came with key safeguards for purchasers, including inspections and multiple appraisals in some cases to document the amounts spent by investors on the improvements.
Vicki Bott, the deputy assistant secretary for single-family housing at FHA, confirmed the agency expects to continue the policy for another year, and hopes to make a formal announcement soon.
Not only have first-time buyers responded overwhelmingly to the opportunity to buy "turnkey" renovated homes with low down payments, she said, but they have performed well on their mortgage obligations.
"Obviously we have concerns about flipping in general," Bott said, but FHA has seen none of the fraud problems, defaults and re-foreclosures that cost the agency millions in insurance payouts in earlier years.
The challenge for first-time buyers, she added, "is that they often don't have the money to do repairs — even replacing the carpet can be a hardship. So when you can bring in investors" who will do the renovations before resale, "it makes a huge difference."
What do investors themselves think about the relaxation of FHA's anti-flip rules? Not surprisingly, they tend to be enthusiastic.
Paul Wylie, who with a group of partners and contractors specializes in acquiring, renovating and reselling foreclosed and distressed houses in the Los Angeles area, says the government's policy "has been a very positive approach" because "it recognizes the role that (private investors) can play in helping the housing market get back on its feet."
In the L.A. market, according to Wylie, FHA financing now accounts for 40 percent of all home purchases and 60 percent of purchases in predominantly Latino and African-American communities.
Buying foreclosed houses "comes with a lot of risk factors," said Wylie. "There's no title insurance; we don't have a good idea of the extent of the defects" inside properties that have been sitting vacant or vandalized for months. Some houses come with delinquent property taxes to boot, which Wylie's group typically must pay.
This is not a game for the faint of heart.
Then again, the profit opportunities can be significant. Most of the Wylie group's houses sell for more than 20 percent higher prices than Wylie paid at acquisition — a quick turnaround gain that potentially works for buyers, sellers, neighborhoods, and yes, the FHA itself.

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Mortgage applications rose last week

Thursday, January 13, 2011

The number of people applying for a mortgage rose last week as lower rates lured more borrowers to refinance.
The Associated Press
NEW YORK — 
The number of people applying for a mortgage rose last week as lower rates lured more borrowers to refinance.
The Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday its overall mortgage application index increased 2.2 percent from the previous week. The refinance index rose 4.9 percent, while the purchase index slipped 3.7 percent last week.
The refinance share of activity rose to 72.1 percent of all applications from 71 percent the previous week.
Rates on fixed mortgages edged down last week, but are still more than a half-point higher than they were in late October. They have risen as Treasury yields increased on rosier economic data and expectations that tax cuts will spur growth and spark higher inflation. Mortgage rates tend to track those yields.
The rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage fell last week to 4.78 from 4.82 percent a week earlier. The rate on the 15-year fixed loan, a popular refinancing option, dropped to 4.15 percent from 4.23 percent.
The Mortgage Bankers Association's survey covers more than 50 percent of all applications nationwide.

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Predictions for our Real Estate Market for 2011

Sunday, January 9, 2011

 Patrick Doty, Editor, Bellevue Home Team Blog

This is the magic question; isn't it?  Everyone wants to know with some predictability whats going to happen.   We all long to feel safer financially than we have in many months if not for the last 2 years and we have reason to give us some encouragement.

Our  local Bellevue market does seem to be turning around a little as we approach the front side of the bell curve here in mid-January and activity increases.  Aside from that, our local economy and real estate market are held up by businesses and industries that we are privileged to have in our community, like Microsoft, Google, Clearwire, Paccar, Weyerhaeuser, and Boeing causing our economic predictions to be a bit brighter than that of other parts of the country.  In my almost 21 years in real estate I have seen values come and go and we have cause to be optimistic about our real estate market as values, no matter how low they get will always rebound.  The magic question is to what level and the truth is no one really knows, however the upside is with lower prices and rates that are still relatively low, people are finding it a good time to purchase.  Rentals are also increasing as developers of commercial rental property are starting to rebound,.

 

Do you plan on buying or selling a home in 2011, if so where and why?


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Price Points: What you can buy for median price in King Count

Saturday, January 8, 2011


                                                                                                                                                            BRYON ZIEGLER

This bungalow near Seattle's Columbia City neighborhood and Seward Park sold for $355,000 on Dec. 21.  Economists say the Great Recession technically ended nearly 18 months ago. But home sellers around the region are still reeling from its economic sting.
In November, the median sales price of a single-family home in King County continued to tumble — to $359,950, the lowest in more than five years.
Of course, for buyers, the deep price cuts mean more bang for the buck.
Here are six homes around the region that sold in November and December within $20,000 of King County's median sale price.
This turn-of-the-century bungalow — near Seattle's Columbia City neighborhood and Seward Park — has updated electrical and plumbing systems and a partially finished daylight basement with space that could serve as a third bedroom. The home's 6,180-square-foot lot has a fully fenced yard, which features a south-facing deck, a cottage shed and fruit trees.
Living area: 2,180 square feet
Bedroom/bathrooms: 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom
Year built: 1912
Sold for: $355,000 on Dec. 21.

This Bainbridge Island home is centrally located and features an open floor plan. The kitchen has Zodiaq Quartz countertops, a pantry and an adjacent dining room. The home's nearly 3/4 acre wooded lot offers plenty of privacy and backs a lush greenbelt.
Living area: 1,770 square feet
Bedroom/bathrooms: 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths
Year built: 1998
Sold for: $365,000 on Nov. 4
This rambler in the heart of the Bridle Trails community near Kirkland features an open floor plan. The home has been updated throughout with new white vinyl windows, crown molding, hardwood floors and modern lighting fixtures. The 9,450-square-foot lot is fenced.
Living area: 1,290 square feet
Bedroom/bathrooms: 3 bedrooms, 2 baths
Year built: 1969
Sold for: $350,000 on Dec. 15
This Sumner home features dark hardwood floors, stainless-steel appliances and a huge master suite with a five-piece bathroom and a walk-in closet. The home sits on a 7,427-square-foot lot and has an attached studio apartment with kitchen, full bath and separate entry.
Living area: 4,003 square feet
Bedroom/bathrooms: 5 bedrooms, 4.5 baths
Year built: 2008
Sold for: $369,950 on Dec. 15
Life on the 10th fairway at the Gleneagle Golf Course in Arlington is all about entertainment in this one-story home, which features a gourmet kitchen, vaulted ceilings, a great room and formal living and dining rooms. The 8,276-square-foot lot has a sprinkler system, garden space and a jumbo-sized third garage designed for a recreational vehicle.
Living area: 1,944 square feet
Bedroom/bathrooms: 3 bedrooms, 2 baths
Year built: 1996
Sold for: $359,950 on Dec. 16
This two-story, south-facing condominium near Lake Union in Seattle offers stunning views of the lake, the mountains and, of course, the city. The main level has floor-to-ceiling windows and an open kitchen and dining area. The lower level features a master suite with a full bath and a walk-in closet, and a second bedroom. There are decks on both levels of the unit.
Living area: 1,398 square feet
Bedroom/bathrooms: 2 bedrooms, 2.5 baths
Year built: 1992
Sold for: $350,000 on Dec. 7

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